Unofficial Recession Indicators: Cottagecore, Lipstick, Strippers, Mosquitoes, and the Economy We Feel
Unofficial recession indicators are everywhere but is the United States in a recession? As of February 2026, the technical answer is no. Real GDP growth remains positive, with current nowcasts for Q1 tracking roughly in the 2.4 to 3.1 percent range annualized. Full-year forecasts cluster near 2.5 to 2.8 percent. Initial jobless claims have ticked…
